TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$876,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$887,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Wizards51c530,261$272,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,003.5825248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers49c256,590$124,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,712.221,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Clippers51c59,636$30,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,317.8420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Clippers51c49,190$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,189.582951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers48c38,307$18,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,748.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Wizards49c30,479$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers49c25,199$12,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,807.993,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Clippers49c23,576$11,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,107.9619560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers50c17,941$8,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,017.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Clippers49c17,372$8,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,859.929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers48c16,995$8,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,837.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers52c16,877$8,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,107.262,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed Clippers49c12,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,119.963234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Clippers49c11,111$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.6124554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Clippers49c10,106$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,116.0311750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Wizards48c9,663$4,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,638.0860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers48c8,826$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.081,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Wizards50c7,600$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards49c6,537$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Clippers51c6,177$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.8115549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers50c5,373$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.162,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers49c5,368$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards49c5,110$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.947751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ac…5e29backed Wizards47c5,023$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers53c4,993$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346.911,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Clippers52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.6911753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a6c…08c3backed Wizards47c4,644$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe514…3118backed Wizards47c4,602$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7110…0372backed Clippers53c4,600$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f5…702abacked Wizards46c4,546$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Clippers51c4,495$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.554548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…f281backed Wizards46c4,461$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Clippers50c4,370$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,18524045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f3…2d8bbacked Wizards46c4,328$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd58…28b7backed Clippers53c4,236$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2e…1ce9backed Wizards46c3,981$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Clippers49c3,940$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.410235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd006…6449backed Clippers53c3,900$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers77c3,822$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…eee7backed Wizards46c3,766$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b7aebacked Wizards46c3,621$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91af…9930backed Clippers53c3,510$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers50c3,108$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.562,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers52c2,190$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers48c2,188$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ec…4ddabacked Wizards47c1,977$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Clippers56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.3738046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41c3…f488backed Clippers54c1,657$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards45c1,634$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.674,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards53c1,604$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84640041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Clippers49c1,508$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.0151753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Clippers49c1,500$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7709557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Clippers49c1,500$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x695f…5147backed Clippers54c1,480$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e7…a676backed Clippers54c1,445$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x179d…dc05backed Clippers54c1,399$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.545100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Clippers50c1,353$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.616550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a1…e1edbacked Clippers54c1,337$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.02785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dc2…ecf7backed Clippers54c1,328$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Clippers50c1,323$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65620536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78a…04d5backed Clippers54c1,287$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Clippers52c1,279$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.881,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67fb…d09fbacked Clippers54c1,247$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3394…f53abacked Clippers54c1,226$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e2…bb1bbacked Clippers54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ae…5745backed Clippers54c1,194$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a55…48f1backed Clippers54c1,173$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4567…a75ebacked Clippers53c1,170$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa432…d60abacked Clippers54c1,164$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.446100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7605…c3ddbacked Clippers54c1,157$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Wizards50c1,150$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57510244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f43…beddbacked Clippers54c1,128$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd569…cc08backed Clippers54c1,120$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…097bbacked Clippers54c1,102$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1377…0445backed Clippers54c1,045$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.7785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5862…7910backed Clippers53c1,044$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca3…895dbacked Clippers53c1,034$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Wizards51c1,031$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde3a…0128backed Clippers53c1,022$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd927…dcd7backed Clippers54c1,008$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd773…019abacked Clippers54c1,006$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wizards48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.4592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Clippers49c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5152,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Wizards52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Clippers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Clippers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50023845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Wizards48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9919653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers50c976.85$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.472,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards36c957.22$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.573,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Clippers62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.2529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x55f2…cd17backed Wizards47c874$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc149…12e6backed Wizards47c864$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcab…6c20backed Wizards47c854$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd90c…5c2fbacked Wizards47c844$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0165…63e5backed Wizards47c834$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Wizards48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5363…d77dbacked Wizards51c770$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.