TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedb1…819ebacked Over58c5,173$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.6615855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x695f…5147backed Under47c4,225$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67fb…d09fbacked Under47c4,210$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f81…832cbacked Under47c3,925$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…80bfbacked Under46c3,813$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6839…7ddfbacked Under47c3,650$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c6…d1afbacked Under46c3,537$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c3,145$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c2,899$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.363,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38db…2aa3backed Under46c2,020$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3b…444cbacked Over54c2,020$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c1,923$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c1,918$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.683,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a1…e1edbacked Over53c1,811$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Over59c1,659$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.298348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd569…cc08backed Over53c1,521$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5677…67a5backed Over54c1,498$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9613…d96dbacked Over53c1,473$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x247e…2830backed Over54c1,387$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc30a…e4a1backed Over53c1,381$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x179d…dc05backed Over53c1,325$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.755100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc323…eee7backed Over53c1,322$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x676c…3f77backed Over53c1,302$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over54c1,256$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.5643453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2e…1ce9backed Over53c1,254$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f32…b3e0backed Over54c1,250$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…cd26backed Over53c1,206$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+64.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa432…d60abacked Over53c1,202$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.946100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x851e…5795backed Over53c1,150$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f28…1c64backed Over54c1,126$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbe…dbacbacked Over54c1,065$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…96aebacked Over53c1,063$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.61450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e57…6d3cbacked Over54c1,024$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c996$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.085,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under42c909.52$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under42c596.04$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5920536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under42c578.26$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8754747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c240.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.741,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Over54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.747959.5%47 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c238.17$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.322,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c232$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under5c220$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x585f…87bebacked Over54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.697949.4%39 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2116261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under43c82.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.472,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c9…0348backed Over60c71.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over52c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.833147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over65c59.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5614252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.210840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3610044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over52c35.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Under43c34.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3222048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3223850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3627150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.287950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.425250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.427353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.429957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5226648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5225150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…709abacked Under43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.329242.4%39 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.613155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Over71c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5810857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.