TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers45c12,146$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,737.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards56c10,109$5,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,701.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards55c9,266$5,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,107.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards55c7,324$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1377…0445backed Clippers45c4,422$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd927…dcd7backed Clippers45c4,419$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3591…7033backed Clippers45c3,357$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0060…2900backed Clippers45c3,158$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Wizards74c3,000$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f32…b3e0backed Clippers46c2,900$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e57…6d3cbacked Clippers46c2,300$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Clippers50c2,004$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00211242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0801…fd93backed Wizards55c1,950$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63e2…bb9bbacked Wizards55c1,950$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.52560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a0…42a3backed Clippers45c1,950$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.52568%17 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c50…a2a9backed Clippers45c1,950$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Wizards55c1,950$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.52263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf84b…3f64backed Clippers45c1,950$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a5…c635backed Wizards55c1,877$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2960…3197backed Wizards55c1,752$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers40c1,730$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f43…beddbacked Wizards55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…097bbacked Wizards55c1,189$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards55c1,183$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards48c1,145$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wizards56c1,135$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.942,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7605…c3ddbacked Wizards55c1,134$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f5…702abacked Wizards55c1,119$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…f281backed Wizards55c1,081$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a55…48f1backed Wizards55c1,066$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e2…bb1bbacked Wizards55c1,037$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fbe…dbacbacked Wizards54c1,033$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Clippers54c1,031$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1264139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ae…5745backed Wizards55c1,015$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5677…67a5backed Wizards54c967$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…80bfbacked Wizards54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf6…e703backed Wizards55c888$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f28…1c64backed Wizards54c833$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd475…baa9backed Wizards54c830$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers36c829.24$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x247e…2830backed Wizards54c767$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16a2…eb67backed Wizards55c745$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c6…d1afbacked Wizards54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Clippers45c686.21$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3620536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…1bb6backed Wizards55c661$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wizards56c655.95$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.331,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9be5…5e55backed Wizards55c592$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Wizards54c552.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Wizards61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Wizards54c459.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Clippers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5325056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.572,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9667…66d3backed Clippers46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc269…94f1backed Clippers46c270$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Clippers46c265.63$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a3…3d81backed Clippers46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards56c234.36$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.241,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Wizards56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Wizards55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.522138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Clippers43c175.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0359141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Wizards58c172.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Clippers43c163$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5668940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Wizards68c140$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.261957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Wizards80c124.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6411651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…5685backed Wizards58c112.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655836.2%21 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Wizards55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1f…cb99backed Clippers17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Wizards56c80.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Wizards58c75.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Wizards50c69.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers44c56.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Wizards57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.439736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.563,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Wizards54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Wizards58c42.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Clippers38c42.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.116842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Wizards59c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc0…a71bbacked Wizards70c38.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Wizards32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Clippers27c37.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2932346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…0b71backed Wizards32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Wizards76c26.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Clippers40c26.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.818936%32 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Wizards53c26.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0918339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Clippers39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.865650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers45c25.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.22,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.