TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$849,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $849,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c575,729$309,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309,919.6587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under46c300,000$138,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,0002552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c200,000$92,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under48c150,619$72,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,327.9417031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c150,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under46c30,190$13,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,302.4613248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c26,331$12,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,825.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under48c22,222$10,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,666.5524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c7,873$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,154.773,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c7,048$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,705.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over52c5,642$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.8866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x676c…3f77backed Over48c4,628$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…96aebacked Over48c4,561$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.79450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a55…48f1backed Over49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7605…c3ddbacked Over49c4,449$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over50c4,422$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.225248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over54c4,302$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32324847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over5c3,921$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under47c3,860$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.5712151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c3,796$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.052,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over2c3,791$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8239018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c2,542$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.882,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over48c2,198$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.8918954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851e…5795backed Under52c2,157$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c2,053$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9613…d96dbacked Under52c2,044$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f95…d44bbacked Over48c2,002$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6256…1d5ebacked Under52c1,922$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c1,883$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3171…32a7backed Under52c1,877$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39db…d185backed Over48c1,662$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30a…e4a1backed Under52c1,625$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35a…3017backed Over48c1,623$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b5…93c2backed Under52c1,602$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab73…293ebacked Under52c1,600$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1296…be84backed Over48c1,593$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x186e…bbe0backed Over48c1,588$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Over48c1,480$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,440$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.191,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec18…aacfbacked Under52c1,401$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Over48c1,372$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.561827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,347$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…245fbacked Under52c1,278$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f81…832cbacked Under52c1,255$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3225…6086backed Over48c1,212$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f5…702abacked Under51c1,196$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ae…5745backed Under51c1,182$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6839…7ddfbacked Under52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc112…f281backed Under51c1,150$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43e2…bb1bbacked Under51c1,141$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f43…beddbacked Under51c1,108$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd927…dcd7backed Under51c1,093$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1377…0445backed Under51c1,055$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under49c1,052$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.7610840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6712855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…097bbacked Under51c1,024$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…cd26backed Under52c954$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.92785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+64.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c898.05$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.92,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c827.71$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.522,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under2c679.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.841,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c559$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.272,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c539.97$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.272,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over54c444.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c437.35$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5315543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+77.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Under47c399.97$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.985450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa141…f2e7backed Under47c360.4$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb9…29debacked Under47c357.23$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f68…b410backed Over54c347.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…4b1fbacked Over54c344.49$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1559850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Under46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.27341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c240$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over52c226.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7220536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Under47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.340346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3336649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0423153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b5…b26dbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016440.9%67 W · 97 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over53c186.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Over54c182.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.466448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb914…8303backed Over54c179.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c176.68$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under47c165.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c162.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under47c161.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.773240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over53c136.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1785147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over53c133.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5116658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.