TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd55c…d703

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Boxing, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$8.6
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.59
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.51
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$101
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.68
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.23
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$77.78
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.33
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.15
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$134.07
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.16
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$101.04
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.98
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$63.09
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$144.35
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$128.23
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+105.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.23
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,462.5%+$146.25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick11cpaid+480.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.29
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$96.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.