TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes42c8,994$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.582,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No50c7,722$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c5,504$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.632,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No67c5,044$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.515147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes19c4,869$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c4,253$3,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.538,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No49c3,814$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.292544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c3,168$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.971,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c2,807$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.6819952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes51c2,499$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.5611855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No54c2,467$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.217959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes17c2,113$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.731,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c1,968$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.913,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes51c1,426$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.2642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68623057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes50c1,344$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.961,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes27c1,300$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Yes43c1,300$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No70c1,258$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.94831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c1,003$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.081,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No49c977.32$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4321349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes50c938$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4692240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f7…8c8bbacked Yes50c900$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+64.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes49c881.84$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43010039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked No50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40013257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…fd4abacked Yes47c786$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No77c765.72$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No75c755.23$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.37437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes10c719.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.348818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes16c688.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.696230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes9c672.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.496412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes49c605$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.454242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes46c588.46$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No68c588.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2317440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c523.78$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.134753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No52c514.34$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.887060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No50c507.61$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8116647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes8c505.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No50c500.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.055168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No55c495.68$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8810618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d71…5c98backed Yes11c472.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes34c446.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No70c396.03$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.741,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes21c391.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.26251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Yes51c390$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.980%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes19c389.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.18343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No51c385.43$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.865844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No77c384.07$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1525866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Yes51c381.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No76c363.12$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.653,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed No54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes31c339.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed No56c322.58$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.949652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No56c316.07$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0719953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No52c310.07$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.833043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes51c305.88$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes44c299.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4215424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes10c293.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.397814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes41c289.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No50c277.05$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5328940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Yes41c267.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Yes51c241.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No69c239.08$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3541145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed Yes47c214.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No50c200.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3211657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d2…b717backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3360%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes20c164$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c156.06$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Yes47c137$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.064452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Yes20c132.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No78c132$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1250643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe465…7f38backed Yes20c126.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6017951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Yes49c119.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No56c117.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7920055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No52c115.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3425955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b1…6146backed Yes48c111.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff56…1e6fbacked Yes50c108.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes20c107.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes49c106$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6370055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…95f3backed Yes51c103.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes47c103.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6126745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.