TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7f6…e517

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8847.7%42 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$649.43
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+230.2%+$119.91
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$364.57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$223.77
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$412.12
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$474.17
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,062.5
Will CA Tucumán vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$140.28
Will FC Juárez vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$368.57
Will Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.9
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$529.05
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$408.32
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$846.14
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$600
Will SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$32.46
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Mineiro vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$518.86
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Iannis Miletichbacked Robert Guna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Seong-Chan Hongbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
National Bank Open (Doubles): Luz/Matos vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Arevalo/Pavic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Dolphinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$25.3
Panthers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.