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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No26c6,917$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8055,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No18c4,355$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.852,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No10c2,770$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.913218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.57653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No63c1,359$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.983,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No5c1,159$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6183034.5%286 W · 544 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No3c1,130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick22cpaid+52.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c842.87$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.321,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes28c714.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.212035%7 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No8c543.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4810718.7%20 W · 87 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No39c478.18$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No50c470$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No10c451$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes29c416.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.48560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes77c382.91$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3838939.6%154 W · 235 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No15c366$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.694334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No20c342.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5434341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f8…2239backed No71c276.62$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes69c272.96$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.815345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No65c247.63$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9727339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No27c220.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4745046.2%208 W · 242 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c203.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.661,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes62c194.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6822933.6%77 W · 152 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…2226backed Yes28c180$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+260%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bca…486dbacked Yes63c168.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No18c160$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No8c160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8339.1%3 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-88.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No18c134$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.822337.7%84 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c125.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.411,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c112.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.091,46656.8%833 W · 633 L+56.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c91.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.072,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21,48937.4%557 W · 932 L+5.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No48c83.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.011,27256.1%713 W · 559 L+72.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c79.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6629240.1%117 W · 175 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014068.6%96 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No20c68.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6187521.3%186 W · 689 L-83.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes28c64.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2920742.5%88 W · 119 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes31c63.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.638349.4%41 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.225653.1%136 W · 120 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No33c54.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9510445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.451,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209536.8%35 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c46.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.563,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No29c41.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.861,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c37.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.171,32550%663 W · 662 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No37c30.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.332536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes43c24.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8260556.4%341 W · 264 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66374.6%47 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No70c18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.67054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes63c17.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No73c15.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3719251%98 W · 94 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5437…6e45backed No70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74fe…89e1backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.