South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e01b9622d8928981592ad64fdb30770c7c541b53f8a2119154f8372112c5db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 8c | 12,700$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Yes | 18c | 3,395$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 17c | 3,333$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 20c | 1,951$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 1,644$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.75 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 1,571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 1,528$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 1,441$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.22 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 2c | 1,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 18c | 1,041$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 19c | 800.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 495.04$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 459.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 9c | 378.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 3c | 334$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 4c | 299.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 291.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 17c | 260.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 14c | 242.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 205.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 18c | 195.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 16c | 178.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 31c | 156.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 147.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 19c | 147$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 103.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 68c | 93.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 62.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 77c | 24.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed No | 75c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…ce73backed No | 77c | 17.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 78c | 17.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.