TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0be5…cf29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick30cpaid+95.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Martyna Kubka vs Annika Penickovabacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,099.99
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
US Open, Qualification WTA: Janae Preston vs Nao Hibinobacked Janae Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masurbacked Daniel Masur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,920
ITF W35 Trieste Women: Federica Trevisan vs Alessandra Mazzolabacked Federica Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,461Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$2,543.79
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevezbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+368.3%+$3,224.51
Augsburg: Liam Gavrielides vs Matyas Fuelebacked Matyas Fuele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170
Augsburg: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dominik Recekbacked Dominik Recek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+400.9%+$4,001.77
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Juliana Giaccio vs Zoziya Kardavabacked Zoziya Kardava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.01
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Adrienn Nagy vs Teodora Mironbacked Adrienn Nagy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+410.3%+$3,216.1
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,480
Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,250
Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,400
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.63
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$101.03
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,430.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,001.78
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$378
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.