TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Estevezof Andrej Nedic, Juan Estevez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$568,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Andrej Nedic48c174,573$83,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,511.064654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Juan Estevez8c39,158$3,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,855.978,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Juan Estevez76c35,398$26,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,412.141,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Estevez29c27,963$8,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,875.434,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Estevez32c25,171$8,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,049.4711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Estevez50c24,081$11,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,125.18,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Juan Estevez35c15,558$5,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,177.184,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5698…4a0fbacked Juan Estevez3c13,394$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,024.67254%1 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick7cpaid+45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Estevez44c12,602$5,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,027.454,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Juan Estevez70c12,000$8,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.971735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Juan Estevez74c10,000$7,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.310252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Estevez68c7,368$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.764,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba6…644cbacked Andrej Nedic35c6,988$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Andrej Nedic7c5,057$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.31,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Juan Estevez40c4,705$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.14,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Andrej Nedic18c4,337$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.533923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be5…cf29backed Juan Estevez21c4,100$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224.511553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+110%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Juan Estevez16c3,438$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.569141.1%284 W · 407 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Andrej Nedic43c3,385$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.3313239.4%52 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Estevez19c3,302$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.834,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Juan Estevez42c3,190$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.342,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Juan Estevez70c3,096$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.71,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Estevez21c3,006$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.986,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Andrej Nedic77c2,181$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.213,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Andrej Nedic73c2,055$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004975.5%37 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Juan Estevez32c2,043$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38234145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Juan Estevez8c2,024$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.211,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Juan Estevez13c1,996$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.329754.6%53 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Juan Estevez7c1,765$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64079249.1%389 W · 403 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Juan Estevez29c1,740$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.164753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Juan Estevez51c1,716$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.4413946.8%65 W · 74 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…a484backed Andrej Nedic71c1,267$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Andrej Nedic13c1,192$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5723723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…8d4cbacked Andrej Nedic10c1,176$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Estevez25c1,052$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.622,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Juan Estevez31c999.93$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9532337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Andrej Nedic58c986.23$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8838257.6%220 W · 162 L+19.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Juan Estevez36c967.54$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.792,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Juan Estevez70c935.39$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.391050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Juan Estevez65c773.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.685250%26 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Juan Estevez13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2363650.3%320 W · 316 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Andrej Nedic33c759.88$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Andrej Nedic33c758.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.333540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Juan Estevez69c732.03$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0419447.4%92 W · 102 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Andrej Nedic38c705$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.311,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Andrej Nedic31c679.45$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4335153.8%189 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Estevez45c656.13$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.598,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Estevez52c633.11$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.814,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Juan Estevez64c626.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.227655.1%152 W · 124 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Juan Estevez29c625.7$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.252,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe689…aae5backed Juan Estevez63c618.28$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.291758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Juan Estevez19c600.68$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.8122150.7%112 W · 109 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Juan Estevez29c599.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.396,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Juan Estevez43c571.87$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.115,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Juan Estevez24c570.96$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.44,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Juan Estevez9c554.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2825147.8%120 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Andrej Nedic30c551.84$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528454.2%154 W · 130 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Andrej Nedic30c550.84$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.751757.4%297 W · 220 L+31.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Andrej Nedic30c541.81$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16230255.6%168 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Juan Estevez30c537.23$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1625042.4%106 W · 144 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Estevez76c536.76$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.496,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Andrej Nedic30c533.78$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.647858.4%279 W · 199 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Andrej Nedic33c533.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.619446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Andrej Nedic30c532.78$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.322951.1%117 W · 112 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Andrej Nedic30c529.77$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.449957.5%287 W · 212 L+29.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Andrej Nedic30c517.73$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.846251.7%239 W · 223 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Andrej Nedic30c508.73$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1150655.5%281 W · 225 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Andrej Nedic30c505.69$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.234854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Estevez49c504.08$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.547,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Juan Estevez18c500$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.5155753.7%299 W · 258 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Andrej Nedic30c498.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9811942.9%51 W · 68 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Andrej Nedic30c492.63$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14831952%166 W · 153 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Juan Estevez67c489.82$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8438047.1%179 W · 201 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Andrej Nedic30c484.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9427551.3%141 W · 134 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Andrej Nedic29c483.14$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0831237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Andrej Nedic30c480.6$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.745055.3%249 W · 201 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Andrej Nedic30c479.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.443352.9%229 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Andrej Nedic30c476.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3928652.8%151 W · 135 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Andrej Nedic30c475.59$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.232754.4%178 W · 149 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a2…a3a9backed Andrej Nedic59c468.86$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.632339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Andrej Nedic30c457.32$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7430454.9%167 W · 137 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Andrej Nedic30c454.52$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.945457%259 W · 195 L+27.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Juan Estevez49c447.92$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2431447.8%150 W · 164 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Juan Estevez70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Andrej Nedic44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8761940.7%252 W · 367 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Juan Estevez45c406$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5931654.4%172 W · 144 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Estevez28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.99,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dff…1f35backed Andrej Nedic20c399.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Andrej Nedic51c396.47$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.351,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Juan Estevez68c396.31$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0173738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Andrej Nedic55c370.97$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8688935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Juan Estevez41c365.22$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.712543.2%54 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Juan Estevez49c362.76$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.821,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Andrej Nedic42c358.19$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1935545.4%161 W · 194 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Juan Estevez52c357.53$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8659738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Andrej Nedic8c344.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.233,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Juan Estevez13c342$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.542,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Juan Estevez66c340.54$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.051,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Juan Estevez68c330.89$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9489263.8%569 W · 323 L+62.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ff4…5607backed Juan Estevez63c328.63$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.