TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d24…f379

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT34854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 348 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$13.82
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
US Open, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$18
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.79
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.76
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Ayana Akli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.52
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+148%+$113.37
US Open, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$187.37
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+26%+$76.75
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
US Open, Qualification ATP: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevezbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.2
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$164.17
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.29
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$494.74
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Dimitar Kisimov vs Kristijan Juhasbacked Dimitar Kisimov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$16.56
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakovbacked Kai Wehnelt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.4
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.25
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Zoziya Kardavabacked Paula Cembranos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Goncalo Marques vs Andrea Colombobacked Andrea Colombo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.17
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Dimitar Kisimovbacked Semen Pankin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$95.2
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Tessa Johanna Brockmannbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.68
Showing 25 of 348 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$117.17
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.88
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$804.36
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.28
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.23
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
All 7 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.3
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.07
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$135.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$36.44
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.94
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$87.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.