UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4c727f05a93decaa04f7ddf9086d3dd895827745bec532d8752ca38883dde4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MarQuel Mederosof Mason Jones, MarQuel Mederos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 318,370$76,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,313.37 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mason Jones | 76c | 192,644$146,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,409.48 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mason Jones | 76c | 42,020$31,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,935.27 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Mason Jones | 77c | 27,524$21,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,071.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Mason Jones | 77c | 21,878$16,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,786.05 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Mason Jones | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MarQuel Mederos | 23c | 10,877$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,397.58 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 10,000$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,633.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 8,840$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,718.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Mason Jones | 70c | 8,716$6,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.46 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Mason Jones | 66c | 8,459$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.81 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Mason Jones | 76c | 7,500$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…f52abacked Mason Jones | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mason Jones | 76c | 6,125$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.21 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…cedebacked MarQuel Mederos | 30c | 6,000$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +71%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mason Jones | 77c | 5,888$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.76 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mason Jones | 78c | 5,481$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.18 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Mason Jones | 1c | 5,075$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Mason Jones | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 4,840$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.78 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 4,274$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Mason Jones | 80c | 4,265$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.75 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Mason Jones | 77c | 4,063$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed MarQuel Mederos | 23c | 3,696$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.65 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Mason Jones | 75c | 3,250$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Mason Jones | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.98 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Mason Jones | 77c | 2,887$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed MarQuel Mederos | 27c | 2,835$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.74 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed MarQuel Mederos | 29c | 2,612$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.64 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked MarQuel Mederos | 25c | 2,500$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.68 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Mason Jones | 75c | 2,400$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.18 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mason Jones | 70c | 2,360$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.01 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed MarQuel Mederos | 18c | 2,309$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.42 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Mason Jones | 69c | 2,250$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.59 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Mason Jones | 77c | 2,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MarQuel Mederos | 26c | 2,169$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.72 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed MarQuel Mederos | 29c | 2,129$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.15 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked MarQuel Mederos | 28c | 2,049$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Mason Jones | 51c | 2,013$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 1,975$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked MarQuel Mederos | 26c | 1,926$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.58 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Mason Jones | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Mason Jones | 77c | 1,653$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed MarQuel Mederos | 29c | 1,500$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.59 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed MarQuel Mederos | 37c | 1,303$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.84 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Mason Jones | 78c | 1,283$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Mason Jones | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed MarQuel Mederos | 33c | 1,213$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.69 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed MarQuel Mederos | 33c | 1,146$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed MarQuel Mederos | 26c | 1,131$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Mason Jones | 77c | 1,087$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MarQuel Mederos | 33c | 1,055$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed MarQuel Mederos | 28c | 1,037$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.88 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked MarQuel Mederos | 19c | 1,033$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed MarQuel Mederos | 20c | 1,027$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d5…6cbebacked Mason Jones | 77c | 1,007$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 1,002$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.26 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Mason Jones | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed MarQuel Mederos | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mason Jones | 76c | 920.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Mason Jones | 77c | 883.12$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked MarQuel Mederos | 22c | 789.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked MarQuel Mederos | 23c | 727.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed MarQuel Mederos | 23c | 727.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked MarQuel Mederos | 28c | 714.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.64 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MarQuel Mederos | 76c | 698$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Mason Jones | 77c | 638.86$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed MarQuel Mederos | 34c | 620.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…e8f9backed MarQuel Mederos | 23c | 608.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Mason Jones | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Mason Jones | 67c | 599.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…72c1backed Mason Jones | 75c | 592.2$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Mason Jones | 70c | 572.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 552.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed MarQuel Mederos | 27c | 523.79$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked MarQuel Mederos | 24c | 520.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.83 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…1d50backed Mason Jones | 77c | 506.49$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked MarQuel Mederos | 27c | 503.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed MarQuel Mederos | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed MarQuel Mederos | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Mason Jones | 75c | 498.29$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked MarQuel Mederos | 42c | 483.7$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked MarQuel Mederos | 18c | 454.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Mason Jones | 73c | 453$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed MarQuel Mederos | 25c | 449.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mason Jones | 74c | 447.32$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed MarQuel Mederos | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked MarQuel Mederos | 28c | 433.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MarQuel Mederos | 29c | 424$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed MarQuel Mederos | 26c | 422.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Mason Jones | 72c | 416.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Mason Jones | 70c | 415.15$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.54 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…a8f9backed Mason Jones | 77c | 405.19$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed MarQuel Mederos | 33c | 404.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Mason Jones | 77c | 390.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed MarQuel Mederos | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Mason Jones win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.