TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0506…8c6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Boxing, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 64 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT16746.1%77 W · 90 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$1,271.8
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.99
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.3%+$514.64
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Kaik Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$1,318.37
Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Mahamed Aly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.13
Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Roman Puga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$440.29
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.21
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.55
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.96
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ludovit Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.39
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Poppeck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.25
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mike Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.63
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brendson Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,191.16
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$136.31
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Saygid Izagakhmaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.03
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.87
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$87.47
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.58
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,816Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$1,908.49
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2479.2%19 W · 5 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+76.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Boxing — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 9: Berlanga vs. Butler (Super Middleweight, Main)backed Berlanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$14.19
Zuffa Boxing 9: Hackett vs. Derevyanchenko (Middleweight, Main)backed Hackett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
Zuffa Boxing 9: Wallin vs. Sirenko (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Sirenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$292.2
Zuffa Boxing 9: Gonzalez vs. Moreno (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$96
La Velada del Año 6: Alondrissa vs Angie Velascobacked Velasco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$407.71
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MXbacked Natalia MX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$82.31
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main)backed Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.11
Zuffa Boxing 7: Billam-Smith vs. Rozicki (Cruiserweight, Main)backed Rozicki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
Zuffa Boxing 7: Massey vs. Clarke (Cruiserweight, Main)backed Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Ray J · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Menery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.92
Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)backed Mosley Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+219.7%+$3,062.66
Zuffa Boxing 6: Monny vs. Mahmutovic (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Monny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,093
Zuffa Boxing 6: Viloria vs. Ortiz (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ortiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+402%+$406.86
Zuffa Boxing 4: Panin vs. Bunch (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Panin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+360.1%+$108.02
Zuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)backed Salas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$156.33
Zuffa Boxing 3: Woods vs. Beuke (Middleweight, Main)backed Beuke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$199.95
Zuffa Boxing 2: Bohachuk vs. Butaev (Middleweight, Main)backed Bohachuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$13.96
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevensonbacked Stevenson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+48.1%+$101.19
Zuffa Boxing 1: Rodriguez vs. Sandoval (Welterweight, Main)backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108%+$190.35
Zuffa Boxing 1: Troy vs. Ramos (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+34.2%+$38.81
Zuffa Boxing 1: Trinidad vs. Ornelas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Trinidad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+517.6%+$5,050.69
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.2%+$202.88
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$3,907.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$440.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Cbacked AlQadsiah Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.