Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 9: Wallin vs. Sirenko (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b58aa940b79b92b4d0f358f807e36c0bfa98ce16b3f7930dc59d2efa10fc89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sirenkoof Wallin, Sirenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Sirenko | 71c | 999.98$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wallin | 38c | 750.48$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Sirenko | 36c | 610.09$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Wallin | 45c | 551$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sirenko | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…9697backed Wallin | 53c | 266.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Wallin | 23c | 266.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Sirenko | 63c | 244.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Wallin | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wallin | 62c | 156.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Wallin | 50c | 145.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Sirenko | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…2a52backed Wallin | 66c | 71.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Sirenko | 62c | 64.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Sirenko | 71c | 62.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Sirenko | 36c | 55.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Wallin | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sirenko | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sirenko | 49c | 37.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Wallin | 64c | 34.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Wallin | 64c | 33.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Wallin | 64c | 31.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Wallin | 41c | 30.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Sirenko | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…2523backed Sirenko | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…eee4backed Wallin | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…9bf8backed Wallin | 60c | 18.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…eca4backed Sirenko | 71c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.