TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barrios

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Garciaof Garcia, Barrios
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Barrios31c57,037$17,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,681.593450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Garcia67c48,256$32,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,924.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Barrios36c41,508$15,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,045.531,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Garcia69c14,493$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Garcia68c8,330$5,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x555c…b069backed Garcia69c8,116$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Garcia74c7,370$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Garcia69c7,360$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Garcia70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Garcia76c7,114$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.371,72250.3%867 W · 855 L+55.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Barrios31c6,200$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Barrios33c5,371$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Garcia69c5,362$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Barrios18c5,188$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.2485135.8%305 W · 546 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Garcia66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Garcia42c4,343$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.876524.6%16 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Barrios32c4,000$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.9721748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Garcia69c3,778$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.312864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Barrios20c3,444$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.672123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Barrios13c3,393$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Barrios32c2,767$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2df3…698bbacked Garcia70c2,503$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb6…dcc4backed Garcia70c2,222$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0267backed Barrios29c2,187$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Garcia72c1,978$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.515054%27 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Barrios31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Barrios21c1,275$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.452242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5fb…6eb5backed Garcia71c1,213$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d67…be7cbacked Garcia68c1,179$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Garcia29c1,085$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.09560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Barrios31c1,078$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.497339.7%29 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Barrios32c1,026$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.371,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…05e1backed Garcia74c1,001$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Garcia5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9501100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Barrios32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Garcia67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf5f…b574backed Garcia67c899.97$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Barrios33c892.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6912761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0db…b117backed Barrios35c850$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739a…a4d2backed Garcia66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e81…2c13backed Barrios32c779.19$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Garcia69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.644955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0a…291cbacked Garcia70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Barrios3c642.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.161,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked Barrios13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Garcia69c556.17$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4113345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Barrios33c509.41$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bb…5253backed Garcia70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…6007backed Garcia72c470.42$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Barrios33c456$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0d…ea2cbacked Garcia69c453.91$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2166…d3b9backed Barrios35c437.76$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…3b17backed Barrios32c435.32$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4957…ef96backed Garcia69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.783850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Garcia70c427.8$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.446558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc462…d348backed Garcia77c391.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Barrios33c382.78$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.32850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x966a…e931backed Barrios16c371.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffe…cb18backed Barrios16c367.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…ba64backed Barrios33c361.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Garcia68c347.69$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…cc47backed Garcia68c342.65$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Barrios31c313$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Barrios34c309.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Barrios32c309.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.781526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88e…a8c6backed Barrios32c309.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89ce…d9dbbacked Barrios33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e93…15e8backed Barrios33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f2…7c7dbacked Barrios35c301.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b08…2bdebacked Garcia70c297.14$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b3…3397backed Garcia69c292.75$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Garcia67c287$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.714456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5345…a83abacked Garcia71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf614…4dc1backed Garcia66c274.44$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1c…9c01backed Garcia67c273.12$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Garcia70c272.94$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Barrios37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1db…2bd4backed Barrios7c266.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb127…b8a2backed Garcia70c262.86$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5079…0f50backed Barrios32c261$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Garcia69c257.97$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb649…e988backed Barrios29c257.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Garcia68c247.04$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.053743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bd…4797backed Barrios32c234.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Garcia69c233.32$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.332441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda45…b320backed Garcia68c232.4$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Barrios34c216.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Garcia70c207.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…649dbacked Garcia73c207$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb79…70f0backed Garcia68c206.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Garcia69c205.8$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.86159%36 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Garcia69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ee…d693backed Barrios17c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Barrios32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Garcia66c199.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9940753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…c759backed Barrios34c198.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf7…755abacked Garcia68c198.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…66acbacked Barrios36c197.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Barrios29c195.8$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0144745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Garcia73c194.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.