TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5fb…6eb5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.02
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$57.17
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$431.69
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$438
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$191.23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$25.83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+52.7%+$1,027.57
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$152
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$638.49
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$163.49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$260
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.03
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.05
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,369.81
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,701Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+63.3%+$1,075.74
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+27.4%+$109.54
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,173.42
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+182.7%+$2,659.37
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.6%+$145.63
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$669.04
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.19
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+153.3%+$2,056.74
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,511.42
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+135.3%+$108.26
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Basharat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$12.8
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.2%+$43.54
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$392.28
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
Will Umar Nurmagomedov win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$240.85
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$978.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.6
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$5.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+41.2%+$353.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$296.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.