Stocks · resolved market
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27441dae2a80c3c8c6eaddeb4e12857618e36c209479704ebc416c5e9bcdf48b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 1,266$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.67 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…80febacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…9492backed Yes | 58c | 357.58$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 41c | 280.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b0…e207backed Yes | 53c | 200.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…4f43backed Yes | 60c | 167.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…6a28backed Yes | 60c | 166.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 53c | 141.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…b577backed Yes | 46c | 115.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 12c | 96.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 56c | 90.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 37c | 90.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 35c | 53.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked No | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Yes | 53c | 47.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 42c | 42.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…610abacked Yes | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 55c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf620…a623backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…6eb5backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?this page
- Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?No won
- Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?No won
- Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?Yes won
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.