TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x777f…a1bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,607
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Movies, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 64 out of 100; worst Middle East at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT81240.3%327 W · 485 L+37.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 812 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above $420?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$116.25
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$55.86
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.27
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,595.33
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$912.32
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.54
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Microsoft reach $450 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$22.85
Will Google reach $375 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+287.3%+$68.11
Will NVIDIA reach $212 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.42
Will Tesla reach $405 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.62
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 30 above $365?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.23
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$34.17
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$42.43
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.4
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$878.4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+97%+$220.32
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.03
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.49
Will Tesla reach $435 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Tesla reach $450 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.81
Will Amazon reach $224 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.76
Showing 25 of 812 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 302 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.53
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111.98
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,496.84
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,292.3%+$2,054.04
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$353.17
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$1,140.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+705.2%+$138.93
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$121.04
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.11
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$1,762.07
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.43
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$916.25
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.94
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+352.5%+$5,511.54
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$59.13
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+230%+$529.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.21
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.56
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,487.41
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$17.78
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$87.35
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$106.88
Showing 25 of 302 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST13537.8%51 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.25
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,904Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.4%+$1,500.13
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,053.96
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.92
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+289.1%+$3,140.08
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$179.13
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$268.36
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+91.1%+$1,913.58
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.65
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.52
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+267.4%+$1,685.26
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$217.8
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.36
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.38
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.9
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.76
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,030Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+62.9%+$4,418.86
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,404.18
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$51.23
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+115.3%+$73.89
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.82
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+107.3%+$103.5
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.3%+$96.94
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8540%34 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.65
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.61
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.5
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$481.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$54.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$89.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$186.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
Will Solana reach $170 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.1%+$1,072.3
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.43
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.8%+$188.58
Solana all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.6%+$20.8
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.6%+$188.97
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.95
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,883Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.5%+$1,573.29
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+125.8%+$4,749.67
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$164.51
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,782Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.5%+$2,127.6
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.6%+$4,126.13
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,216.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.4%+$383.36
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.86
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.88
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+677%+$1,248.85
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600.15
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,511Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$1,902.39
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.17
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.68
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.6%+$1,643.3
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.3%+$185.54
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$321.75
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120.32
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $660b and $670b on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.68
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157.24
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+71.2%+$668.04
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47%+$143.07
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37.2%+$11.49
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$412.94
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.76
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$78.05
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.88
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+80.9%+$647.12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,766Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.4%+$1,105.34
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$169.26
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,874.68
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.59
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+94.8%+$77.48
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,259Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+60.8%+$765.92
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,199.78
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$512.25
Will Cory Booker break the record for the longest filibuster?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.28
Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$91.42
Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69.51
Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+281.6%+$1,020.3
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+47.4%+$526.6
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.19
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33.35
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.32
Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$249.29
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$282.86
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.52
Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.76
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.92
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$100.16
Will Joni Ernst vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,364.55
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$195.76
Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+48.3%+$57.3
Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$351.05
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Metallica perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$56
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$737.98
Will 125-130 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$285.62
Will 110-115 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$139.22
Will 120-125 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 115-120 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.42
Will 130-135 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$57.52
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Which conference wins the Super Bowl?backed NFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,018.95
Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+74%+$42.32
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+46.1%+$104.1
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$785.65
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54.1
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$177.64
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "King Kunta"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$16.8
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Money Trees"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.74
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$26.13
Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+49.1%+$51.78
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$41.6
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$92.96
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.35
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$462.21
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.3
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.36
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$59.32
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.9
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,006.15
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$348
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,085.78
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+642.4%+$1,705.85
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$45.01
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.1
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$344.5
Canada election called before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.05
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$526
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,674.96
Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$125.92
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$193.3
Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$1,709.59
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+78.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$37.21
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.6
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$37.65
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+175.3%+$94.87
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+118.1%+$94.78
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+525%+$59.64
Will 'September 5' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$25.74
Will 'A Real Pain' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.73
Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+76.4%+$281.95
Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$61.24
Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$367.86
Will 'Gladiator 2' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+28.7%+$84.22
Will 'Challengers' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.83
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+100%+$170.45
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+141.5%+$79.63
Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-89?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$158.06
Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be below 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+402.8%+$393.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+134.2%+$81.18
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+79.5%+$960.73
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$32.35
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55.38
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$140
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.03
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$168.17
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$27.69
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+33.1%+$242.7
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$95.47
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.76
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,720Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$5,780
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.42
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.96
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.07
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.77
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.66
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$196.52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$92.46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+107.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.57
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$348.55
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+681.9%+$411.88
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+175.1%+$80
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+127.3%+$101.57
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$323.95
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+130.6%+$416.14
Diddy sex tape released before November? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+25.1%+$30.1
GRAMMYs 2024: Will "What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish win Song of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2024, EST+163.2%+$206.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.62
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the 2025 NBA Playoffs in scoring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.89
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed West · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$203.02
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.98
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$23.1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$13.1
Will De’Andre Hunter win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$45.05
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$469.05
Will the Denver Nuggets get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.79
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,040
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-77.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$124.2
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$497.52
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.79
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88.63
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$167.5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,181.22
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+120.8%+$1,110.07
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+80.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.8
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.34
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.93
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+123.5%+$221.11
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$1,296.5
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+266.4%+$51.62
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$628.49
Will the US add between 50-100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$11.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$53.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.