Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca5b98281ebe6395058d1b56b99ffec367c6e45543f585b24f439963b631f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 3c | 2,122$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…01b8backed Yes | 7c | 490.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 387$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 15c | 248.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 63c | 237.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 22c | 158.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 79c | 131.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 16c | 87.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…b3f4backed No | 71c | 57.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 45c | 53.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 33c | 50.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…4652backed No | 79c | 47.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 24c | 42.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.9wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…57c8backed No | 71c | 19.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…a53ebacked No | 73c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.2wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.