TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c1,101$26 inLost-$25.622934.1%12 W · 281 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes9c327.58$30 inLost-$29.611421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x031e…560dbacked No72c285.19$207 inWon+$78.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9b…b486backed No73c282.02$204 inWon+$77.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc453…ab41backed No72c280.28$203 inWon+$77.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…d94dbacked No73c279.83$203 inWon+$76.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9726…2eafbacked Yes28c278.88$77 inLost-$76.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2705…af94backed Yes28c278.61$77 inLost-$76.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…fcbebacked No73c278.51$202 inWon+$76.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5491…6e70backed No72c278.33$202 inWon+$76.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a4…5546backed Yes28c278.18$77 inLost-$76.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a4…4bd6backed No72c277.09$201 inWon+$76.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6806…126dbacked Yes28c276.78$76 inLost-$76.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed17…f263backed No72c275.56$200 inWon+$75.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e3…ca49backed No72c274.08$199 inWon+$75.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa400…152cbacked No72c271.81$197 inWon+$74.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb9…ff36backed Yes28c271.73$75 inLost-$74.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cff…fb69backed Yes28c270.95$75 inLost-$74.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cce…e06dbacked No72c265.63$193 inWon+$73.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b2…09bebacked No72c261.86$190 inWon+$72.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes18c248.51$45 inLost-$45.195125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No75c227.34$171 inWon+$56.2530238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes9c140.86$13 inLost-$12.872025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes20c135.86$27 inLost-$26.7926413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bba…6f81backed Yes19c113.28$21 inLost-$21.26270%0 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7132…a53ebacked No79c110.08$87 inWon+$22.7211100%11 W · 0 L+5.2wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+136.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Yes57c80$46 inLost-$45.652128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes29c62$18 inLost-$17.931,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…c84dbacked No74c56$42 inWon+$14.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes30c55.89$16 inLost-$16.4921815.6%34 W · 184 L-37.8wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-68.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xac13…6506backed Yes21c55.33$12 inLost-$11.883815.8%6 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-54.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes29c44.39$13 inLost-$12.661306.2%8 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes51c41.48$21 inLost-$21.143312.1%4 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-60.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6735…f5b7backed No72c25$18 inWon+$6.951040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No78c21$16 inWon+$4.5616050.6%81 W · 79 L+13.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.