Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce540874f47c3fe82dcf9359276b57a5ce8def9083fff1c4f501af4817b68a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2993…24d6backed No | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 30c | 759.87$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.6 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 7c | 700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 59c | 654.26$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 53c | 619.82$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.62 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 79c | 592.56$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 50c | 540.17$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 40c | 432.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…833ebacked Yes | 66c | 366.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 51c | 334.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…6e6fbacked Yes | 12c | 320$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 45c | 232.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 37c | 211.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 42c | 210.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 13c | 200.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.9wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 176.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 21c | 143.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 55c | 122.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…ed2ebacked Yes | 9c | 113.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 58c | 105.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…35c4backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 29c | 99.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 66c | 88.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4faabacked No | 26c | 75.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 72c | 65.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…b3f4backed No | 51c | 56.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 57c | 55.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…d526backed Yes | 73c | 55.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 43c | 51.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 78c | 40.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…0367backed No | 57c | 39.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked No | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 42c | 35.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 75c | 34.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 49c | 32.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 44c | 26.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 66c | 23.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…7a14backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…8d04backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.