Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ba1dc113f1e86bc3e09dad3be1e75a6d60b7f54fa99b5744f67d58eece37eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d13…f01ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 938.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…37b3backed Yes | 7c | 668.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 606.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 15c | 386.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 27c | 278.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 6c | 256.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 241.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 11c | 192.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 182.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…835abacked Yes | 18c | 166.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…8218backed Yes | 18c | 165.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…94dcbacked Yes | 18c | 165.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…ff5abacked Yes | 18c | 164.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…7b38backed Yes | 18c | 161.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1291…a235backed Yes | 18c | 161.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…6facbacked Yes | 18c | 159.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 13c | 152.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 75c | 151.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x139c…9922backed Yes | 18c | 150.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…3914backed Yes | 18c | 147.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 75c | 145.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…82b4backed Yes | 18c | 143.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Yes | 22c | 137.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 137.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 74c | 115.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 106.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 20c | 100.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 73c | 37.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 77c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.