TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a05…8573

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.04
Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$68.11
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Algeria vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$30.56
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will San Marino vs. Andorra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$36.85
Will Singapore vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Singapore win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$21.29
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.29
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+95%+$31.67
Will Cyprus vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$16.42
Will Lithuania vs. Georgia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Will Haiti win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Haiti vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Burkina Faso vs. Guinea-Bissau end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.82
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$13.7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$13.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+151%+$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+297.9%+$32.03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$9.92
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$8.31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$8.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$21.44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$7.95
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+322.7%+$80.68
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$9.05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$16.65
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$11.77
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31%+$5.6
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will EC Bahia vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will CF América win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$5.35
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$32.4
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+50%+$5
Will Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$5.87
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$4.09
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$28.52
Will Botafogo FR vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.24
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$4.84
Will Holstein Kiel vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$32.1
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$11.41
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38%+$9.92
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$41.2
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+249.6%+$61.4
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+187.2%+$21.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$17.75
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33%+$14.13
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$20.43
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$8.74
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$16.02
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.75
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$4.7
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.51
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.74
Will UD Almería vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$29.44
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+303.7%+$45.89
Will Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$7.65
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+205.8%+$30.29
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$38.95
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will Dundee FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Will FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+226.5%+$33.3
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.32
Will SBV Excelsior vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will Telstar 1963 vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will St Mirren FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will FC Lorient vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$32.43
Will FC Metz vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$20.97
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+307.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+307.7%+$807.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+70.2%+$54.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chainlink dip to $8 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.