Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2dac660f3b8bb0891f8fdd7d9c5b3e9de7cbb38ae02d2fd1d12fc2c4f5c011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb950…87babacked Yes | 1c | 5,421$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.2 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 3c | 2,900$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 1c | 1,848$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 11c | 1,581$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 78c | 1,447$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.07 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 25c | 1,442$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 12c | 1,308$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 39c | 1,274$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.79 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 39c | 1,245$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.56 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,198$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 73c | 1,102$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.02 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 1,065$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 26c | 872.68$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 871.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 28c | 827.2$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 10c | 808.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 807.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Yes | 10c | 754.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Yes | 27c | 734.59$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 8c | 655$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 9c | 611.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 6c | 564.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed No | 49c | 561.32$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.93 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 38c | 547.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 9c | 528.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 11c | 519.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 7c | 499.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 481$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 11c | 466.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 449.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 447.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 22c | 433.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 61c | 407.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 36c | 400.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 11c | 376.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 23c | 361.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd209…8dbabacked Yes | 28c | 359.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…7e5cbacked Yes | 14c | 349.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 23c | 344.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed Yes | 14c | 337.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 293.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 13c | 288$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…38a5backed Yes | 4c | 287.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 67c | 230.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 228.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 15c | 222.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 74c | 208.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 39c | 198.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 21c | 189.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Yes | 6c | 186.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed Yes | 10c | 179.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed Yes | 64c | 175.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed No | 51c | 171.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked No | 65c | 167.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 30c | 165.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Yes | 27c | 165.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 59c | 161.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 52c | 160.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 13c | 149.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 12c | 148.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 147.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…e7dcbacked Yes | 14c | 142.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 43c | 134$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 75c | 132.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 69c | 131.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 10c | 126.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…64c1backed Yes | 17c | 122.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 8c | 122.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 9c | 119.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 58c | 119.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 16c | 116.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 76c | 113.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 12c | 108.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed Yes | 21c | 104.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 24c | 103.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 22c | 101.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 12c | 100.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 11c | 99.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…22f7backed Yes | 22c | 98.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 60c | 94.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 32c | 92.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4674…03cabacked Yes | 24c | 92.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 91.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 24c | 90.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 12c | 88.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 41c | 80.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…f943backed Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Yes | 47c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…2065backed No | 80c | 73.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.