TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97ab…a19f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT29953.8%161 W · 138 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 299 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$67.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.7
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.85
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.15
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$75.08
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$47.79
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$82.7
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$272.3
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.71
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.83
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.84
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.53
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$20.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Showing 25 of 299 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$75.96
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$50.41
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$124.37
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$72.9
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$49.08
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$12.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+602.5%+$214.41
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$55.15
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$59.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$60.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$47.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.97
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$479
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.