World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6675405beee155e23602978152d1d11ec084aab70cc6e35d54d0e03bd42f129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 38c | 739.64$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Yes | 38c | 664.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 424.58$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 307.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 34c | 305.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 277.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 67c | 209.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 196.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes | 35c | 192.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 61c | 187.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 61c | 173.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 61c | 162.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…4fe2backed No | 64c | 156.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 154.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 147.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 145.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…8588backed No | 60c | 126.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 36c | 117.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 58c | 113.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 110.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 63c | 105.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 33c | 98.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 66c | 95.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16a…dd6dbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 35c | 75.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 37c | 75.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 70.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 69.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 39c | 67.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca98…15b7backed No | 60c | 67.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…b04cbacked Yes | 46c | 66.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 65c | 62.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 61.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…b535backed Yes | 37c | 58.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 65c | 57.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…0caebacked Yes | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…d970backed Yes | 41c | 51.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 64c | 49.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 63c | 47.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 58c | 46.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 45.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 73c | 42.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 39c | 41.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 40.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 59c | 40.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 57c | 40.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 29c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 64c | 37.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 68c | 36.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 71c | 36.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…7e34backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 60c | 34.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…f9c4backed No | 73c | 33.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 33c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 40c | 30.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 36c | 29.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…2246backed Yes | 43c | 26.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…9aa1backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +323.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 74c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 62c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed No | 67c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 60c | 21.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…24f9backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 66c | 20.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 61c | 19.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 61c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 59c | 18.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 70c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 65c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 64c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…293cbacked No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.