TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2be…ff33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,396
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1,20348.9%588 W · 615 L-24.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1,203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$70
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28%+$19.71
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$48.88
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.92
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$110.55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$73.6
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Showing 25 of 1,203 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$37.1
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+43%+$27.06
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$11.76
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.88
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$16.65
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+216.1%+$37.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$17.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$67.32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$101.79
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$19.94
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+616.8%+$860.48
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$1,055
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.9
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.3
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.36
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$79.25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.29
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.22
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.95
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$90.3
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.62
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.9
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.95
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.87
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.54
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-82.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.94
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$43.01
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$12.76
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$39.31
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.91
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+50.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$35.85
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$364
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$6.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.