TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c9,005$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.455759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No54c8,175$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.262025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Yes46c7,701$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes42c7,082$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.759333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No67c6,871$4,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.165662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1d9…2659backed Yes46c6,602$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No60c6,503$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.3614356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No56c6,344$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.765757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes44c5,731$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ce…944bbacked Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.96333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No60c3,571$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.683467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57af…81cebacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes59c3,000$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.235337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c2,933$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.875317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes39c2,641$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.866732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes44c2,565$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed No44c2,549$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No55c2,396$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.610652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No65c2,329$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes40c2,082$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.97133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c2,079$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.797545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90070%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c1,806$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.6921337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed No55c1,696$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8032…1b20backed Yes45c1,545$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+57%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…e7d5backed Yes46c1,519$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No58c1,500$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.087739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No58c1,439$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3911266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes46c1,269$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.27944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No58c1,250$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.784936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes59c1,197$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf24…dccfbacked Yes46c1,122$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No61c1,057$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No58c1,055$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.042867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes37c968.55$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…3e26backed Yes43c948.61$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.521637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051f…66b0backed Yes44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes43c812.58$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No55c734.52$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8114458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No64c729.14$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.281266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes43c694.01$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.048138.3%31 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No61c693.59$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.142673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes31c690.65$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.83842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No58c684.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No63c677.58$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.857950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Yes32c627.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes37c625.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6712325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No66c607.58$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.581758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No55c576.08$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.996966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes2c572.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes21c562.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8314429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes27c552.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5611836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad0…a9d8backed Yes31c541$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No70c530.15$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.523256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No55c526.92$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.751968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76a1…b1f3backed No56c526.79$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…7571backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes41c490.85$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.898127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked Yes38c483.68$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes47c481.66$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…c73cbacked Yes37c471.32$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed No56c470.61$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No55c470.01$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No63c440.12$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.534852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes39c422$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.587233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Yes45c411.11$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No58c409.89$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+144.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No57c404.72$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No56c396.61$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No65c392.03$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.591643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6b…bc2abacked Yes46c377.43$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No42c373.39$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.785028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75fe…3a47backed Yes44c363.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Yes60c358.27$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…10fabacked No40c350.27$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.161526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked No55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x557b…5a4fbacked Yes29c341.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes43c324.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.743259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No68c318.11$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.897955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…11ffbacked Yes45c316.11$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes45c314.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Yes46c306.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes30c300$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8912419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…022ebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Yes54c277.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2389…5158backed Yes41c270$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes44c262.23$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.382846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No64c255.3$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.693167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Yes44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No56c248.94$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.994148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No69c245.1$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e0…e22abacked Yes42c240.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No56c235.71$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.714040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.