TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe6b…bc2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT28165.5%184 W · 97 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 281 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.68
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.61
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.57
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.97
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.57
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$17.17
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.29
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.79
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.43
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$66.81
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$36.56
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$123.3
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.77
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$72.08
Showing 25 of 281 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.9
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.19
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$164.41
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$41.15
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$169.77
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$70.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32%+$23.37
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$26.44
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.79
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$69.81
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.65
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$82.57
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$105.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$33.12
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.75
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$89.07
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.11
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$51.86
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$157.42
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.31
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$16.13
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$69.94
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.62
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$518.22
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked m1x · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x - Map 2 Winnerbacked m1x · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x - Map 1 Winnerbacked m1x · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$70.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.52
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+36.8%+$313.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$159.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$498.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.