TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ40c28,278$11,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,029.233,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked G21c25,555$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5513315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G254c25,447$13,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,847.1376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8148…3143backed G256c21,260$11,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,985.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed MOUZ47c12,866$6,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,818.984136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ44c11,690$5,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,546.2823243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked G271c8,593$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,120.3222468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ37c6,862$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,292.5832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G261c6,472$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.911,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G266c6,235$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.781,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dab…b837backed G255c6,030$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ38c5,443$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.2387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G267c5,252$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.1188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8009148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ35c4,984$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.962,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed G246c4,533$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ38c4,351$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.511,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked G272c3,717$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.9725555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed MOUZ44c2,954$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.2515947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed G253c2,822$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.475450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed MOUZ62c2,700$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.2214042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ46c2,686$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.086,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed G266c2,488$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.221,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked G254c2,367$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.727658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed MOUZ46c2,141$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.518670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed G255c2,111$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.5918061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9917148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked MOUZ46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.987441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ44c1,820$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.74,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked G256c1,800$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked MOUZ45c1,699$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.6210737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ44c1,655$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.461,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ46c1,614$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.4998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked G21c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked G21c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15751.3%1 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ71c1,451$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.6238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ43c1,376$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.92,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ44c1,320$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74419741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed G240c1,297$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52537646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked G254c1,296$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…0539backed G277c1,290$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.159137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ40c1,275$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.7532732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ40c1,252$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.2214839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed MOUZ47c1,237$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.674734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed G253c1,123$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.9942651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed MOUZ45c1,120$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.7922142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5846…0388backed G225c1,118$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.35729.8%17 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked MOUZ44c1,114$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.6420041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed G237c1,106$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7619329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed G239c1,070$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.934,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed G231c1,042$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3432136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked G256c1,035$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.64,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed G234c1,007$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3439023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked G21c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G251c969.15$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.271,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ46c965.7$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.024,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed G254c926.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ47c919$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9964852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a9…5aa1backed G261c811.39$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.752218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-69.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked G268c804.53$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.069856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G267c800$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5321,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked G252c750$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked G276c750$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.811,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ37c740.27$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.192,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed G254c728.81$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5613937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ44c710.33$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ68c665$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.552,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed MOUZ50c663.27$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked MOUZ63c630.94$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4519857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked G253c594.96$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.336639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked G250c594.49$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.517357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ32c578.94$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.161,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ51c546.01$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.845,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked G266c539.77$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf52e…54fcbacked G228c524.07$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.745532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked MOUZ43c520$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.528657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked MOUZ47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26512045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked G263c499.98$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9911753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ44c457.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.233,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed G254c425.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed G253c417.63$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015132.5%49 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked MOUZ26c415.38$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3843237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked G256c412$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7240253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked G254c409.56$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2523056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked MOUZ76c394.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4825070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked G257c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ43c348.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe724…2072backed MOUZ58c319.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed MOUZ36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2341716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked G255c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked G239c299.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.258852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed MOUZ47c297.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8737232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ45c284.74$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0753444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked G254c277.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6527749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked G268c272.13$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6515053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ45c271.26$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.231,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbec6…0e3abacked MOUZ52c270$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked G254c267.62$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14541069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.