CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3c94d22cd382c8cc389de583fa33b22ab6b549b109a612ab68c823d1695ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof G2, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked MOUZ | 78c | 4,308$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.6 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 32c | 4,301$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked G2 | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked G2 | 11c | 1,237$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed G2 | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked G2 | 33c | 574.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed G2 | 29c | 431.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked G2 | 33c | 348.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed G2 | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed MOUZ | 68c | 251.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed G2 | 26c | 219.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed G2 | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed G2 | 15c | 195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked G2 | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed G2 | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…deffbacked G2 | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed G2 | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked G2 | 30c | 114.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed G2 | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed G2 | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed MOUZ | 71c | 94.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed G2 | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…3053backed G2 | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…ead1backed G2 | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…18bfbacked G2 | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed G2 | 13c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed G2 | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed G2 | 29c | 72.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed G2 | 32c | 72.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed G2 | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed G2 | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked G2 | 32c | 54.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed MOUZ | 68c | 49.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed MOUZ | 68c | 27.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.