TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$965,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,062,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $965,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ48c124,285$59,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,523.0342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G251c44,479$22,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,905.375758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed G255c41,587$22,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,872.8510142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked G256c40,815$22,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,672.9464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked MOUZ44c40,000$17,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,399.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked G252c37,000$19,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,24020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked G256c30,373$17,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,089.997054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed G276c28,271$21,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,486.2723852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ41c27,362$11,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,119.9275452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed MOUZ31c27,108$8,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,762.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed MOUZ49c26,822$13,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,679.224136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed MOUZ32c18,250$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,369.9610935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed G270c17,877$12,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,519.0315947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed MOUZ48c17,200$8,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0128043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked MOUZ43c15,000$6,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,574.9816245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ45c13,000$5,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,084.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed G231c12,420$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.9533359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ44c11,461$5,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.85,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked MOUZ45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.1125751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked G243c10,900$4,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.373,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked G259c10,587$6,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,230.5138358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed G256c10,000$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,59029858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9e…2e40backed G20c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103450%17 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed G258c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.9875350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked MOUZ45c9,500$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2259248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked MOUZ45c9,357$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,146.4659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed G258c8,947$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.2472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked MOUZ43c8,767$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,993.668748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed G255c8,635$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,745.4337346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G252c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked MOUZ31c6,644$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.424946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed G251c6,569$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.9521842.7%93 W · 125 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ44c6,250$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.9135153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ45c6,014$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked G242c5,250$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ42c5,085$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.823848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed G264c5,032$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,232.6214042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked G256c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80015050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked G252c4,399$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30016248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e29…cd86backed MOUZ22c4,396$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.291931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ38c4,261$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.141,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked MOUZ24c4,250$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.997441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G277c4,100$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.337,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G250c3,921$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.116,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G248c3,765$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.851,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked G272c3,544$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.387247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23c…07cebacked MOUZ45c3,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9251643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked G252c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82016447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed G255c3,400$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.166041.7%25 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed MOUZ40c3,228$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.9410739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G241c3,132$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.4887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed G257c3,040$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.7925248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed G256c3,029$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.611253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ44c3,017$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f8…b501backed MOUZ43c2,907$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G250c2,845$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.61,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked G275c2,715$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.3897952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G244c2,617$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.14,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked MOUZ39c2,501$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.961650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+310.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed MOUZ45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37560248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2562…eb9cbacked G232c2,463$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G245c2,452$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.092,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed MOUZ24c2,420$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.212154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked G276c2,366$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.9116355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G239c2,355$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.915,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5820946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked MOUZ43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.586256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked G227c2,304$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.3290%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked G230c2,148$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1340137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G267c2,141$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.811,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked MOUZ48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3326045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G256c2,059$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.363341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed G251c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed G278c1,955$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.4711061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed G252c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked G256c1,821$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.8817945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed G252c1,811$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.7242651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed G256c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00817460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked G250c1,800$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.198852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G268c1,799$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.012,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed G257c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…0c4cbacked G257c1,748$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003966.7%26 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed G221c1,665$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5222444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed G22c1,640$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.543544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed G265c1,623$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06111140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked G219c1,530$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.821522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed G257c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85533452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed G221c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed G254c1,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9938954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G251c1,497$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.473,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked MOUZ49c1,486$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.7132542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed MOUZ36c1,477$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.364734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed G256c1,429$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed G268c1,404$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.991,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed MOUZ45c1,391$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.053132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed G257c1,321$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.7416761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed G277c1,294$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed G254c1,254$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.2511843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed G261c1,250$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.56456.3%36 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.