TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47a8…52f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51,072.97
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$13,860.57
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,042.73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,098.83
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36,799.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,999.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$5,960.8
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10,149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$24,849.81
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$33,899.96
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,542.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33,407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$63,083.48
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$7,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,689.24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,419.96
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10,467.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,999.94
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,000
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,152.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,315.88
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$8,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,419.07
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,059.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$7,341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+488%+$35,820.58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.04
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,222.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,906.77
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$32,508.66
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT7545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,622.97
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,340
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$104,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104,499.93
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31,676Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$16,904.86
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$78,599.8
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,000
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,400
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,025
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12,988Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14,646.18
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35,990
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,140.63
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,320
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,200
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$12,928.99
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12,900
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,079.4
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,500
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,199.92
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,249.98
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70,199.9
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70,149.96
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,999.95
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37,000
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,000
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69,310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$46,495.81
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19,235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$39,052.95
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,399.41
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,510.73
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,677.54
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50,399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69,599.04
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,809.09
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10,691Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$19,870.93
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$76
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40,884Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$54,627.41
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$40,000
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28,699.82
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,599.82
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,060
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,799.92
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,927Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13,449.42
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,400
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,847.3
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$7,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,479.88
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,359.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,249.96
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,038.94
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,858.14
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,799.86
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,134.91
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40,560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11,439.96
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,590.46
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,299.99
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,080
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17,860
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,999Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10,001.44
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.