TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Under51c42,160$21,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,658.3423355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Over49c41,132$20,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,152.1210142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa579…d090backed Over48c6,035$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under52c4,177$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.067363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Under53c2,729$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.6210452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under53c2,596$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.61,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under51c2,371$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.5922647.3%107 W · 119 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over48c2,276$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.5498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c1,568$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.152,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Over49c918.37$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over48c602.71$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.316853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under53c570.26$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Over47c351.06$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under53c336.35$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.081,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under53c290.27$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.152,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over53c283.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca3…b826backed Over46c227.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.256744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over9c226.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.124042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Over48c201.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5221856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…8d0bbacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over47c187.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1113541.5%56 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under54c186$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5638950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528740.8%117 W · 170 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over48c110.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5330236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017456.9%99 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66a…ca12backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3337…780bbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4728042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf632…bcd4backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under42c84.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.933839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over47c82.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed Under69c77.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4110151.5%52 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85d…0f24backed Over50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c72.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Over48c62.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.86651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under52c57.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.411358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under49c53.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.454148.6%263 W · 278 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0584…75eabacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.523656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.174551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e3…e736backed Under54c43.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3793…8f46backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb161…30aabacked Over49c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a19…eb54backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209762.9%61 W · 36 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011057.3%63 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…8a80backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2a…0f79backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6342…0546backed Over45c40.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.263847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under53c38.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.095768.4%39 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2503…8285backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152885.7%24 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.917239.5%68 W · 104 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.760451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230158.8%177 W · 124 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under51c23.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4917467.8%118 W · 56 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed Under53c21.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8714460.4%87 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.