TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6a8…b1f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
573
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: F1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT28738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 287 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Grenier vs Rottgeringbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Set 2 Winner: Herbert vs Vandecasteelebacked Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Set 1 Winner: Grenier vs Oberleitnerbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.84
Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs Keysbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+341.6%+$362.1
Set 2 Winner: Anisimova vs Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 2 Winner: Borges vs Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Set 1 Winner: Keys vs Wangbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$113.98
Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.42
Kingston: Max Purcell vs Harold Mayotbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs Rybakinabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$133.44
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$137.97
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.47
Cancun: Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Set 2 Winner: Tien vs Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.3
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.43
Set 1 Winner: Frech vs Rybakinabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Set 2 Winner: Tirante vs Landalucebacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Set 2 Winner: Parry vs Boissonbacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$97.43
Set 1 Winner: Stephens vs Potapovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.29
Set 1 Winner: Korpatsch vs Jovicbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Set 2 Winner: Tien vs Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.15
Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$78.51
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Auger-Aliassimebacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 287 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT11944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.03
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.83
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.1
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+148%+$79.9
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.67
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$62.51
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.3
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.17
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.59
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$118.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+253.6%+$195.26
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126.27
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.71
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT11439.5%45 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.62
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+581.1%+$371.56
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.2
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.31
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$63.23
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$78.29
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.95
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$222.86
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$265.42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$342.86
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$87.43
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.7%+$290.11
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+219.3%+$335.82
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+1,594.9%+$334.93
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$190.35
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$122.77
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+876.7%+$113.97
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$31.29
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.46
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$188.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.