TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c11,418$6,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,659.876,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under66c7,495$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.5716040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over43c6,988$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97510338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c6,318$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.54,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over35c5,159$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.7120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over33c4,834$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.233033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over46c3,137$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.624645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under67c3,082$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.6381234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under71c2,802$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.845954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under73c2,442$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.075637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c2,415$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.91,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over36c2,368$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.449254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b6…43d6backed Over45c2,154$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under64c2,059$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7554132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over50c2,004$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over48c1,920$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.593852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c1,890$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.731,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over36c1,840$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.47361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under56c1,672$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under58c1,491$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.682343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…5f4fbacked Under70c1,181$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over45c1,112$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under67c1,079$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under69c1,060$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over23c1,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22535028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over30c981.67$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Under79c978.47$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.161070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under78c947.33$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4220239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over15c799.76$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4811437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under63c787.04$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3511753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c769.62$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0996445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over24c764$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0745751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Under56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c712.43$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3457847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under68c691.19$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c602.11$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2369742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Under51c580.95$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.46966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+71.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under78c559.65$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9514463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under70c540$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.16960.9%42 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over40c535.48$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Under67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c496.66$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2795332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over49c462$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.383050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under73c461$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3918842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over49c459.52$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over18c450$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815742.1%24 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Over38c449.85$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.44742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under54c441.48$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8222443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over46c432.97$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.161225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over29c420.04$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over28c418.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1515740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over30c385$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under73c344.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.034037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over28c337.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.137829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c333$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.283522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…7dcbbacked Under80c322.11$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Over40c320$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under70c319.63$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over29c319$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5127752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d7…47cbbacked Over39c317.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.691030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under76c299.3$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4345249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5122156.1%124 W · 97 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under60c261.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.972339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under57c260$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under52c255.5$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.645648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c5…6dd1backed Over47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over40c245.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.111040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under70c221.3$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.394847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Over49c206.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.363857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…3a87backed Under67c206.01$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under73c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.26977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over50c199.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under74c198.73$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7322645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…212dbacked Over47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Over30c180$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c178$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.741,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9b…c323backed Under70c177$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over31c167.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.261,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over50c163.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1435347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under57c162.7$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under50c161.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502524%6 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2528859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c154.21$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8780853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under66c150.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.039345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Under68c147.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…a9bbbacked Over34c147.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.