Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484a7d7d8fd52dd8b257db799df0a1b2f7741ca50185137aece9a40506289e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenham Hotspur FCof Chelsea FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Chelsea FC | 9c | 18,518$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.59 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Chelsea FC | 9c | 4,472$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.48 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chelsea FC | 13c | 1,045$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 727.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Chelsea FC | 6c | 622.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Chelsea FC | 9c | 581.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chelsea FC | 11c | 500.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…b1b4backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 443.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chelsea FC | 11c | 430.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Chelsea FC | 12c | 397.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Chelsea FC | 9c | 336$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…c2fbbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chelsea FC | 10c | 194.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Chelsea FC | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Chelsea FC | 11c | 146.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Chelsea FC | 13c | 119$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chelsea FC | 11c | 108.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 61.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Chelsea FC | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.