TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$564,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$622,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under44c124,412$54,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,293.5216040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over51c43,859$22,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,490.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over53c37,000$19,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,389.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under48c27,270$13,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,187.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under47c21,277$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4002437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under49c18,204$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over51c18,147$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,946.5220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c12,800$5,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8886139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over57c11,680$6,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,985.541,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over54c11,000$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.931040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under47c10,340$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,860944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c8,811$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.1459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over51c8,710$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.762157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under46c8,234$3,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,816.352334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c8,037$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.295560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over53c7,477$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.292642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c7,464$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,69213353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over57c6,704$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.5114463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c6,155$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0194742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c6,032$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9964151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Under45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over55c5,848$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.4888635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c5,711$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.312,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.972744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under50c4,875$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c4,539$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.356,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c4,445$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.6912649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under46c4,371$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over51c4,314$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.7310739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over55c4,135$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.92564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00090%0 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c4,010$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.965032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c3,811$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.584,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c3,784$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.7519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed Over53c3,716$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under46c3,621$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6554037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over55c3,600$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6202065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under45c3,500$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.7716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed Under48c3,309$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under45c3,305$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over35c3,244$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.691540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under45c3,216$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.1713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over46c3,213$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.753953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under46c3,200$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.16448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.996660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over57c2,800$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20415255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under46c2,531$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.8940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over57c2,368$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.249254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over56c2,223$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.0175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over53c2,128$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c2,119$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.591,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c2,051$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.229350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc3…ff02backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8407959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.432037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c1,850$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9251560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over57c1,840$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.27361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over54c1,821$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Over55c1,814$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.681540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under51c1,785$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over29c1,753$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.737440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over51c1,723$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.8111437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c1,678$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.354340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under42c1,600$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67217062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,530$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.4555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6306058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under47c1,456$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.1916753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over48c1,455$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Over54c1,443$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.595100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+113.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over55c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6308065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under47c1,399$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.7910634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over60c1,258$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.82965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51612157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under44c1,200$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.479345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under45c1,200$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.810951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over69c1,142$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.113441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over32c1,105$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.268949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over55c1,088$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.628456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under45c1,075$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.742948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over34c1,044$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.135428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over48c1,015$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb722…1098backed Under46c1,003$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c999.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9922242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over28c999$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.2819235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.