TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c100,581$22,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,241.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over79c99,999$78,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,999.843100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under0c12,985$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.218644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under17c12,192$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.78116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over69c6,100$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.992277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under29c5,983$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.074,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under33c4,575$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.984533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under25c3,887$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.84240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over73c3,836$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.6210739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under1c3,471$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7114463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over66c3,384$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.672441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under21c3,251$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.6875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over78c2,700$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under22c2,062$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.251,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under21c1,905$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.626338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under22c1,700$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under22c1,387$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.793154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c1,149$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Over62c1,137$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.961145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,020$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30630645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under26c1,019$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6111437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under20c999.27$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3918358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c993.57$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.242,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over77c957.38$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over78c932$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under22c863.64$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909955.6%55 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over62c860$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.82045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Under25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over64c781$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.92944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over64c781$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.94254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over64c781$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.91844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over65c699.97$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.499953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under22c653.97$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8122057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over75c641.66$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over63c619.1$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.071250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over70c580.14$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8945751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under31c569.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c556.35$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under22c555$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4529250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Over72c499.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.996100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under4c431.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.433429.4%10 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+99.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under25c431.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c417.54$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.721,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over64c399.98$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.995754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under4c390.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5922644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under21c388.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9239555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under23c384.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0924557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under22c351.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7115046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa10…8ee9backed Over69c342.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over64c320.31$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6023353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Under24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over73c246.58$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5835347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over62c243.94$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.821250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over70c235.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.785932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under21c230.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0418463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over76c225.81$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over78c220$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.22171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under27c188.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9931849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under22c187.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9412561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Over66c161.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.971741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over65c159.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.34768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under21c154.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.047850%39 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba84…26efbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22552%13 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Under36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-58.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under24c134.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Over75c131.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.585653.6%30 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over64c121.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.884341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…0b83backed Under21c119.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0b…fbafbacked Under21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c118.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Over65c111.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.443250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over78c108.25$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8522645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Under29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305532.7%18 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under22c100.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1119239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.822528%7 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Under21c96.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under23c88.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010956.9%62 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under24c86.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.598441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c82.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7120864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over72c80.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4715553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.