TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32f6…9538

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5532.7%18 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.78
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Tottenham vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+103.6%+$41.43
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$110.3
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$109.85
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$161.2
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.77
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.58
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.89
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.55
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.96
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$416.33
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$211.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+156.4%+$56.31
Makhachev vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+244.8%+$89.48
Prochazka vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$73.09
Holland vs. de Ridderbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.17
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Covington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$36.58
Woodson vs. Padillabacked Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$51.3
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$36.6
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$36.64
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$49.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.52
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$10.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+190.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+190.5%+$57.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.