TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$867,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$974,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No44c104,826$46,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,123.421853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c63,839$36,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,534.671,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No36c46,734$17,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,039.3718950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.9115049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c25,180$14,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,694.641,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No41c23,906$9,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,771.055556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked No44c17,614$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7503246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c15,203$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.031,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No44c12,281$5,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,403.6810236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes54c12,182$6,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,601.275752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes56c10,906$6,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,798.6150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3004100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes75c8,699$6,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c8,628$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes59c8,005$4,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.0517042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No43c7,750$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…60a3backed Yes57c7,439$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7808…b89cbacked No43c7,428$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No38c7,142$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.372,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c5,376$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.224,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…8a97backed No4c5,174$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2008939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes51c5,000$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.923135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes57c4,384$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.017028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c3,978$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.281,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595e…4b85backed Yes61c3,919$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes77c3,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.059749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa520…99eabacked No39c3,833$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes56c3,767$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.4714544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0637…3407backed No39c3,622$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ae…63d1backed Yes59c3,612$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+103.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…d405backed Yes61c3,468$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d62…3360backed No39c3,439$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a3b…042abacked Yes61c3,394$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8c…da2cbacked Yes61c3,288$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1a…7a79backed No39c3,225$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa7…d476backed No39c3,178$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda58…a6bbbacked Yes61c3,055$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No41c3,025$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c3,003$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.0746651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.996150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No40c2,984$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.828747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…e029backed Yes61c2,928$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11fa…27f3backed No39c2,866$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.74540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c2,861$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.871,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…5ef3backed No39c2,804$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d1…7e48backed No39c2,803$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Yes50c2,796$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes57c2,795$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.9311945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…8ae8backed Yes61c2,789$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…3ca8backed No39c2,709$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0718…f057backed Yes61c2,671$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe194…6b28backed No39c2,596$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No25c2,505$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.2511162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed No43c2,447$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No4c2,407$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.26015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c0…5cacbacked No39c2,340$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ce…b232backed Yes61c2,336$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No7c2,324$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72f…1713backed No39c2,243$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes60c2,220$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.538958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e9…1b9cbacked Yes61c2,184$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac55…79adbacked Yes61c2,179$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…f210backed No39c2,082$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes75c1,989$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c05…295bbacked No39c1,980$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x025a…8afebacked No39c1,979$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.81825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09a8…567fbacked No39c1,935$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.6570%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82d1…5ae7backed No39c1,923$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…42efbacked No39c1,922$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45bf…a76dbacked No39c1,848$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked No29c1,811$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5272532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a9…836ebacked No39c1,808$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-61.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b1…d365backed No39c1,802$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77453134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…2cf9backed No39c1,793$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a93…0cf5backed No39c1,784$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes51c1,776$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.7210253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x57fa…4e26backed Yes61c1,750$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Yes57c1,749$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaef7…a192backed No39c1,724$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.36850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…1601backed No39c1,702$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8810…d314backed No39c1,697$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…a45abacked No39c1,691$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6f…b31bbacked No3c1,661$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5f…36e9backed No39c1,648$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…d1dcbacked No39c1,638$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.82955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x728b…e8a4backed Yes61c1,636$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5def…9a0bbacked No39c1,635$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…890cbacked Yes61c1,627$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.53785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2747…7c62backed No39c1,626$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8b…0b5bbacked Yes61c1,618$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd91…378bbacked Yes61c1,604$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+69.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes57c1,600$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68812642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…8f19backed No39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes57c1,579$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.0720054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.