TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ed0…a9c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$467.1
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.25
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$482.11
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$298.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$230.16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$720
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.41
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,463Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$2,183.67
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,110
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$122.34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,448.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,582.64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,399.97
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.7%+$3,202.96
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$3,202.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,965.66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,478.92
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,844Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,214.04
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,490.7
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.75
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+213.5%+$326.92
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,031.98
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,901.69
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,707.27
Grizzlies vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,621.38
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,047Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,507.73
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$976.66
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,809.95
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,069.09
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$797.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,533.29
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,080
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,447.54
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,271.36
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,607.63
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,830.95
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,807.74
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$5,346.34
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,249.55
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$640.65
Spread: Wizards (-4.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$624.7
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$469.84
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.38
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$340.74
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$381.82
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$402.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.46
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$840.32
LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group Abacked VARREL YOUTH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,306.53
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,867Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+426.3%+$12,221.66
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$7,867.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$1,398.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$488.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.