NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbce4babc2c8543ad59e88cfa130db554ac0a33507b96b275f696cfe7dd5c82e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks | 54c | 38,365$20,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,648.62 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 48c | 21,221$10,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,276.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Mavericks | 46c | 18,414$8,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470.44 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 15,301$7,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 13,195$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks | 49c | 12,939$6,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.02 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 54c | 10,000$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.65 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 8,290$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 6,116$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Mavericks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 57c | 5,813$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.45 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…c212backed Hawks | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Hawks | 51c | 5,387$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.47 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 43c | 5,144$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Mavericks | 53c | 4,220$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 45c | 4,066$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Hawks | 51c | 4,044$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.56 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 48c | 3,779$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.11 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 50c | 3,034$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.43 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…5f72backed Hawks | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks | 52c | 2,876$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.32 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Hawks | 52c | 2,539$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.88 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Hawks | 53c | 2,078$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.66 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,987$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.96 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 52c | 1,711$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,120$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,106$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.41 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Mavericks | 49c | 992.89$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.11 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Mavericks | 46c | 811.96$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Hawks | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 752.12$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.02 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 54c | 741.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 52c | 739$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 67c | 585.46$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.33 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 558.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Hawks | 54c | 550.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Mavericks | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 38c | 496.84$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.22 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Hawks | 54c | 493.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Mavericks | 53c | 487.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 43c | 484.57$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…a247backed Hawks | 50c | 392.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 47c | 390.01$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Hawks | 48c | 387.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…1643backed Mavericks | 51c | 387.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Hawks | 55c | 363.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Hawks | 52c | 319.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Hawks | 53c | 299.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Mavericks | 49c | 293$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Hawks | 75c | 279.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Mavericks | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 51c | 265.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 51c | 236.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…77e2backed Hawks | 54c | 222.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks | 56c | 220.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Hawks | 47c | 216.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Mavericks | 21c | 211.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawks | 51c | 209.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Hawks | 52c | 202.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks | 50c | 197.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hawks | 55c | 188.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Hawks | 55c | 185.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…4c0cbacked Hawks | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…b346backed Hawks | 49c | 168$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…cc7cbacked Hawks | 48c | 151$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Hawks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Mavericks | 47c | 133.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Hawks | 54c | 109.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Hawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Hawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 48c | 94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mavericks | 56c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mavericks | 50c | 91.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…c15ebacked Hawks | 54c | 87.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Mavericks | 47c | 85.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe1…3559backed Mavericks | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mavericks | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mavericks | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Hawks | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Mavericks | 46c | 73.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 17c | 73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Mavericks | 46c | 72.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Hawks | 55c | 72.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…2253backed Hawks | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b4…85f7backed Mavericks | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Hawks | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Hawks | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mavericks | 51c | 67.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Hawks | 54c | 64.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Hawks | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. HawksHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.