TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf22a…1697

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
608
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT22846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$64.09
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$31.4
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.29
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$161.82
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.13
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.01
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.31
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.59
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$114.2
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$244.76
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$18.66
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$258.33
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.34
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.3
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$142.89
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.42
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.93
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.45
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.42
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.54
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.98
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT9251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Springfield Thunderbirdsbacked Providence Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$163.14
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$185.22
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56.29
Utah vs. Capitalsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+182.4%+$96.87
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+131.4%+$71.49
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+69.3%+$59.37
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+100.3%+$75.1
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+170.3%+$59.67
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+55.3%+$51.95
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.31
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$94.08
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57.15
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+70.6%+$62.08
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+41.3%+$19.62
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+156.4%+$29.26
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28.41
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.42
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+115.4%+$13.36
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+111.9%+$14.53
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+130.1%+$84.79
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.01
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+127.7%+$14.99
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$96.07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$316.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.8
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$270.32
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$55.02
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$35.17
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+77.5%+$56.77
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.25
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+34.9%+$38.82
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+87.5%+$69.98
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+116.6%+$80.75
Will Brentford vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+30.7%+$34.92
Will Everton win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$91.78
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.47
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$62.94
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+39.9%+$42.03
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$92.01
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+193%+$98.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+187.1%+$97.75
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$83.63
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+39.5%+$42.46
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$104.13
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$47.32
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$99.48
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26%+$40.05
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.89
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$14.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$198.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.53
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$148.41
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$115.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.02
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$163.51
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.77
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.01
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$563.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.06
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+71%+$207.6
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$75.24
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+639.5%+$354.41
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.96
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$42.49
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.59
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$7.28
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.38
Trump signs national abortion ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.12
Trump declassifies Diddy list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.06
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.12
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$34.3
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$26.42
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+45.3%+$14.6
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.11
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$37.43
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$51.24
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.97
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.69
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.91
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+37.1%+$9.31
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51.78
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$91.51
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$95.94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$175.77
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$68.18
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.66
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$5.46
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.68
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.28
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.73
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.49
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$152.85
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.98
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.82
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.58
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$132.42
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$118.16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.39
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$151.26
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.61
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+33%+$37.2
Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$113.99
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.07
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+112.3%+$62.04
Will the Eagles score 19 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+35%+$35.53
Will the Eagles score 31 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$108.51
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$44.5
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+97.3%+$49.31
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+55%+$15.67
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+40.2%+$43.04
Will the Eagles beat the Commanders by 7 or more points?backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+111%+$35.1
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+107.9%+$51.9
Will the Ravens and Bills combine for 52 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26.48
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48.34
Will the Lions beat the Commanders by 9 or more points?backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.23
Will the Vikings and Rams combine for 48 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Will the Vikings beat the Rams by 3 or more points?backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$69.25
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+131.7%+$17.61
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.44
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.5
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.74
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+211%+$51.05
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+58.1%+$47.3
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$51.05
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+213.2%+$102.1
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+273.6%+$109.85
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
Canada election called before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+127.2%+$16.24
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$44.12
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Yoon released from custody before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.22
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.22
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.47
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$199.9
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Sonay Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$250.38
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.85
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37.73
Australian Open Final (M): Sinner vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+243.7%+$362.32
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$23.94
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+193.6%+$194.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.89
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$180.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.36
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$165.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.25
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$147.68
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$9.5
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$200.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Josh Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.66
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Myktybek Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$121.17
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.71
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Brad Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.23
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$250.31
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$48.59
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.48
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$67.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+115%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+71.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49%+$22.29
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.22
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$348.96
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+323.2%+$378.38
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.68
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.2
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+151.3%+$22.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$398.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49%+$64.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.