Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3052bee821048faab02ae2897fc7a38946e2de9e2f0290aca71fd40b4cdac426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 7,151$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.46 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 26c | 5,617$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 29c | 5,254$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Yes | 27c | 4,630$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed No | 76c | 4,277$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 80c | 4,115$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.44 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 4c | 3,675$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…00a0backed Yes | 27c | 2,988$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 2,196$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.2 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,189$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 1,329$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 1,064$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 73c | 1,020$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.35 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 911.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 79c | 801.74$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 79c | 779.58$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…5170backed Yes | 25c | 670.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 75c | 630.65$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 24c | 573.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…fa29backed No | 74c | 521.62$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…18d0backed Yes | 27c | 470.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…c405backed Yes | 26c | 434.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…3db9backed No | 75c | 430.67$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…e6b2backed Yes | 25c | 424.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…d1d0backed No | 76c | 419.48$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 25c | 412.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 409$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 14c | 407.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…5ddfbacked Yes | 28c | 407.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42da…d576backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…9a9cbacked No | 76c | 393.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…f6e8backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 27c | 371.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc6…f8dfbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…39aebacked Yes | 28c | 357.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 26c | 354.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 20c | 351.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 21c | 305.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 10c | 300.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 71c | 284$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ac…c7d0backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 20c | 114.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 108.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…815ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 22c | 103.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 25c | 96.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…93c2backed Yes | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed No | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…5919backed Yes | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 27c | 66.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 25c | 65.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…0a24backed Yes | 24c | 63.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…4dc6backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 25c | 57.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…da18backed No | 73c | 48.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…41cdbacked No | 73c | 46.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56dd…9273backed Yes | 27c | 43.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…c37fbacked No | 72c | 43.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Yes | 25c | 43.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…af78backed Yes | 25c | 40.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…b513backed No | 73c | 36.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…537bbacked No | 73c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked No | 72c | 18.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?Yes won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.