Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539de9efad59e3bc5d4b4268d6aacd1482f56e45ee1a645dbb8d170b621eb100
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x549f…c945backed Yes | 21c | 51,987$10,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 46,492$33,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,829.08 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 74c | 25,124$18,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.44 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 26c | 19,427$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 19c | 19,000$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5e…a508backed Yes | 27c | 18,647$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Yes | 27c | 18,580$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes | 19c | 15,589$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…f674backed Yes | 29c | 13,820$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 76c | 13,436$10,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.45 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Yes | 27c | 9,711$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 8,529$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed No | 76c | 7,467$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 6,344$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.44 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 6,300$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.57 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 28c | 5,688$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.09 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 5,044$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.43 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 26c | 4,155$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 4,125$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.02 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed No | 75c | 4,065$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,722$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.6 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed No | 75c | 3,491$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 77c | 3,231$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.95 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,048$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.04 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 26c | 2,664$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 74c | 2,488$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 23c | 2,298$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.58 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 19c | 2,296$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.4 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,171$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.23 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 24c | 2,047$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.75 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…04f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,949$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 27c | 1,807$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 76c | 1,804$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.74 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…dd47backed Yes | 1c | 1,610$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 76c | 1,590$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Yes | 15c | 1,584$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 73c | 1,543$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.97 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 1,537$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.77 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 74c | 1,374$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.27 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 25c | 1,231$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…f9ddbacked Yes | 10c | 1,164$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 25c | 1,143$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.78 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 1,114$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.74 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 26c | 1,096$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.43 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 25c | 1,093$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…c579backed Yes | 27c | 1,022$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…dcb9backed Yes | 26c | 1,001$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 19c | 926.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 905.88$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…c52abacked Yes | 26c | 854.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 836.35$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.12 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 6c | 816.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 20c | 799.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 24c | 749.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 27c | 738.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…5fd4backed Yes | 29c | 679$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 27c | 599$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 26c | 578.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 26c | 563.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 78c | 527.88$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 76c | 525.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 75c | 492$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…13aebacked Yes | 27c | 434.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Yes | 21c | 433.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 26c | 424.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 26c | 422.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…55f3backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 74c | 391.61$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 22c | 378.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 27c | 353.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 72c | 350$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 335.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 14c | 315$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 25c | 300.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 27c | 295.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 72c | 282.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…bbe0backed Yes | 17c | 279.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 76c | 276.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…81f9backed Yes | 25c | 273.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…bf03backed Yes | 26c | 268.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…b373backed Yes | 27c | 266.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 23c | 263.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…c593backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 73c | 248$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 240.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 27c | 237.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…bafcbacked Yes | 26c | 225.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…3d5dbacked Yes | 10c | 218.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 11c | 208.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 22c | 205.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 25c | 204.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.