TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7b3…246a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$185.44
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$702
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$60.8
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,362.24
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.68
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.92
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.61
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.14
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.37
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$833.25
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$559.99
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.75
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$436.92
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$143.73
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,450.79
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$611.05
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$911.02
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$977.42
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$297.48
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$459.54
Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.69
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$237.15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.54
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.64
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.14
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.63
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.18
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,199.58
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$49.9
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,288.39
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,033.13
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,555.4
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$845.28
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$256.41
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.64
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$555.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$866.58
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.83
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$479.52
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.31
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.47
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$495.97
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,186.07
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$43.29
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$628.59
Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Muchova (+1.5)backed Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,993.18
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,143.16
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$357.49
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$195.36
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.09
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.56
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.28
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.98
Wimbledon: Ruse vs. Keys (W) backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$6.8
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+207.8%+$1,074.42
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+63%+$628.57
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+146%+$1,163.59
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.04
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+77%+$579.42
French Open: Bublik vs. Draperbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$19.24
Will Novak Djokovic reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.3%+$486.55
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$341.87
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.84
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.53
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.09
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.69
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$680.02
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.7
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.82
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.89
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.54
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,614Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+35%+$916.16
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.76
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$258.2
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$322.19
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2024, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+49.3%+$1,099.89
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+33.8%+$391.94
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$712.67
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+47.8%+$560.44
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$3,037.02
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+81.8%+$1,075.05
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,908Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+40.4%+$770.37
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+85.2%+$1,078.7
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+63.9%+$1,040.91
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+72.4%+$545.58
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+35.1%+$348.88
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+112.8%+$559.55
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$707.83
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$860.47
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+40.8%+$373.81
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2025, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$459.02
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$432.1
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+400%+$532.79
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+153.8%+$1,008.97
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$577.72
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,097.44
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$2,336.61
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+92.3%+$972.36
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,773Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+32.9%+$583.82
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$626.54
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,087Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+38.9%+$811.69
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+26.6%+$466.62
Colts vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST+40.8%+$87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$622.72
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,078Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+132.7%+$4,084.29
Minnesota vs. Wisconsinbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+92.3%+$245.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,908Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+31.8%+$923.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,111.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.