NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd734b30e61a17d2948bf3e97551790cf6bf53a5eaa0720a6da9f33706eb4b8cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Clippers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $642,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Clippers | 35c | 272,801$95,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,480.41 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 65c | 55,433$36,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,420.08 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 53,128$34,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,678.4 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Clippers | 28c | 50,239$14,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,081.72 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 38,750$25,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,562.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 30,406$21,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,092.41 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 68c | 25,554$17,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,243.85 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 21,538$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,538.46 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 10,422$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.25 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Timberwolves | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Timberwolves | 68c | 9,681$6,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 66c | 9,376$6,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.15 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Timberwolves | 75c | 8,084$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.04 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 63c | 7,165$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 7,123$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.53 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Clippers | 33c | 6,904$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.42 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 6,353$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.83 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Clippers | 2c | 5,998$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Clippers | 28c | 5,932$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 65c | 5,836$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.71 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Clippers | 4c | 5,569$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 74c | 4,819$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.56 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Timberwolves | 65c | 4,745$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Clippers | 38c | 4,488$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Clippers | 20c | 4,251$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Clippers | 26c | 4,251$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.21 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,994$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Clippers | 33c | 3,949$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.19 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Clippers | 35c | 3,800$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.77 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 72c | 3,748$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.92 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 3,616$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.67 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,456$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.6 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,200$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,032$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.73 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,874$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.7 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0c9abacked Clippers | 37c | 2,740$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Clippers | 34c | 2,737$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.51 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Clippers | 32c | 2,689$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers | 34c | 2,506$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.13 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Timberwolves | 75c | 2,434$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.37 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Clippers | 34c | 2,382$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Clippers | 33c | 2,355$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.26 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Clippers | 32c | 2,200$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…bb32backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,102$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Clippers | 37c | 2,043$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,000$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.08 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Clippers | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Clippers | 24c | 1,835$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.1 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Clippers | 33c | 1,738$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.67 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Clippers | 18c | 1,525$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,496$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.58 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,490$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.7 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 1,479$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.23 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Clippers | 33c | 1,463$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.67 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…6bd8backed Clippers | 35c | 1,430$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Clippers | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Clippers | 7c | 1,399$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 1,365$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Clippers | 31c | 1,317$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.83 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Clippers | 27c | 1,269$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,215$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Clippers | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…4db4backed Clippers | 34c | 1,187$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Clippers | 36c | 1,089$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 1,087$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Clippers | 34c | 1,011$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Clippers | 35c | 1,004$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Clippers | 33c | 1,002$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.58 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…aaf5backed Clippers | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Clippers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…5d18backed Clippers | 35c | 919.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +230%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…5e20backed Clippers | 34c | 914.89$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Clippers | 36c | 909.25$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.33 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Timberwolves | 67c | 903.31$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.09 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 853.27$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Timberwolves | 63c | 850$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Timberwolves | 65c | 819.98$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Clippers | 36c | 778.17$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 67c | 771$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 754.87$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.66 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Clippers | 28c | 731.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.88 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 725.31$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Timberwolves | 68c | 720$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 701.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…223cbacked Clippers | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Clippers | 34c | 686.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 617.29$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Timberwolves | 65c | 599.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…b73fbacked Clippers | 35c | 566.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Clippers | 28c | 566.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Clippers | 32c | 554.29$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Clippers | 62c | 543$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.26 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.