TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93b0…69c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+150%+$19.26
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+101%+$80.83
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.52
Raiders vs. Saintsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+85.2%+$10.12
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+25%+$8.78
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+28.8%+$263.7
Rams vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$1,280
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$66.5
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$1,648
Colts vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$115.21
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+244.8%+$71
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+58.7%+$558.87
Lions vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$848.6
Vikings vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Broncos vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+26.6%+$167.14
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$316.59
Raiders vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$113.92
Panthers vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$34.65
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+40%+$146.72
Titans vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+25%+$130.59
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,196.8
Texans vs. Packersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.16
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,350
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$192.86
Commanders vs. Ravensbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$212.95
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+316.7%+$4,864
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+669.2%+$696
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+63.9%+$78
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$192
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$37.5
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+60%+$75
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$665
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,090Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+53.5%+$1,654.63
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$195.33
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+78.6%+$233.2
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$575
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+28.2%+$30.8
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+44.9%+$572.08
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$140.11
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,595Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+26.9%+$697.27
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+40.8%+$102.11
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$189.45
Wizards vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+26.6%+$185.23
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+33.3%+$142.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.31
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.07
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,039
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$216
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+148.4%+$657.13
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$248
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,542Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+124%+$1,912.41
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$232
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$304.14
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$209.61
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$328
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$223.08
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+78.6%+$352
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+25%+$84.48
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+50.1%+$434
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$170.8
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+25%+$28.9
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$672.74
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+124.4%+$1,589.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.